logo2

 
Weekly Review
Forward the Weekly Review using the forward link at the bottom of the page!
 
December 3, 2008
 
 
Quick Links
CTBA Website
Weekly Review Archive
 
In This Issue
New CTJ report on Federal Estate Tax
Governors reach out to Obama for fiscal help
More state workers laid off to help close budget hole
Calendar of Events
 
 Federal Estate Tax


 

CTJNew Report Focuses on Federal  Estate Tax
 

 

Latest State-by-State Data from Citizens for Tax Justice Shows Why Obama Should Scale
Back His Proposal to Cut the Federal Estate Tax

New estate tax statistics from the IRS show that the percentage of deaths resulting in federal
estate tax liability is below one percent nationally and in most states and continues to fall.

Under the tax cut enacted by President Bush in 2001, the federal estate tax is being reduced
gradually over the decade (meaning the exemption for estates is gradually increasing while the
tax rate is gradually decreasing) until it disappears entirely in 2010. Like almost all of the Bush
tax cuts, the gradual changes in the estate tax expire at the end of 2010. If Congress simply
does nothing, the federal estate tax will be repealed for 2010 but then return in 2011 in a form
much closer to what existed at the end of the Clinton years.

President-elect Barack Obama has proposed a change that would prevent the estate tax from
disappearing in 2010, but which would also unnecessarily cut the estate tax below the level it
would reach in years after 2010 if Congress simply does nothing. (Note:  CTBA helped the State of Illinois enact a "decoupling" law to retain Illinois state estate tax revenues.  The law links Illinois' state tax code to the Federal law as it existed prior to the 2001 changes).

The data shows that about 0.9 percent of total US deaths in 2005 resulted in federal estate tax liability
in 2006. (Usually the estate tax is paid during the year after the year in which an individual
dies). It also shows that only 0.7 percent of total US deaths in 2006 resulted in federal estate tax liability in 2007. The decrease is explained by the fact that the exemption increased, as scheduled under the 2001 law, between these two years. In 2005, the first $1.5 million (per spouse) in the value
of an estate was not taxed, while in 2006 that exemption was $2 million (per spouse).
In 2009 the per-spouse exemption is scheduled to increase to $3.5 million and in 2010 the
estate tax is scheduled to disappear altogether for one year.

Similar to the country as a whole.  In 2000 about 2.5 percent of estates in Illinois paid the federal estate tax.  By 2005 that number dropped to 0.9 percent.

Advocates for tax fairness have called on Congress to act before 2010 to prevent the federal estate tax from disappearing. If the estate tax is allowed to disappear, they fear, Congress will find it more difficult to resist the lobbyists who will insist that repeal of the estate tax be made permanent.

Obama Proposes to Block Repeal of the Estate Tax - But Would Still Cut It Unnecessarily
President-elect Barack Obama has proposed to make permanent the estate tax rules that will
be in effect in 2009 under current law, including the $3.5 million per-spouse exemption. This
would be an improvement in the sense that it would prevent the estate tax from disappearing.
But it would be a regressive and costly giveaway to the very wealthiest families in America,
because it would mean that the tax would affect even fewer estates than it does now.

The Estate Tax Does Not Threaten Family Farms and Businesses
Anti-tax activists and lawmakers have dubbed the estate tax the "death tax" and have
convinced many people that it is destroying family farms.

This could not be further from the truth. The American Farm Bureau Federation, which lobbied
for the repeal of the estate tax, famously admitted to the New York Times in 2001 that they
could not cite a single example of a farm that had to be sold due to the estate tax.
To the contrary, family farms and other closely held businesses get additional breaks from the
estate tax (in addition to the exemptions all estates get) including a provision that allows the
tax to be paid off over a period of 14 years. The estate tax has always been confined to serving
its actual purpose - reducing extreme concentration of wealth in the hands of a few superwealthy
families, and asking these families to contribute to the society that made their wealth
possible.

A Fair Tax System Is Impossible Without an Estate Tax
Government provides public safety and national security. It provides education that results in a
more productive workforce. It provides highways and bridges. It even funded the research that
led to the creation of the internet. Looking at America's millionaires today, one doubts that
very many of them would ever have acquired their wealth if the government had never
provided these goods and services. It's entirely logical that the families who have accumulated
large fortunes be asked to contribute more to the society that made these fortunes possible.

This idea is not new. President Theodore Roosevelt said, "The man of great wealth owes a
peculiar obligation to the state, because he derives special advantages from the mere
existence of government."

But the need for the estate tax actually goes beyond that and goes to a fundamental question
of fairness. A society whose government provides the goods and services necessary for wealthcreation
must decide how to pay for them, which means we must decide what to tax.

We have decided to tax income from work through the federal income tax and payroll tax,
which the vast majority of Americans are familiar with.

If we tax earnings from work, it would seem only fair that we also tax transfers of large
fortunes to those who do not need to work because of the enormous wealth of their families.
This is particularly true when you consider that most of the fortunes being transferred from
one generation to the next consist largely of income (capital gains income) that has never been
taxed at all.

If the families who pass huge fortunes down through successive generations are no longer
asked to help pay for the goods and services that make such wealth possible, then surely
Americans will question whether ours is truly a country where hard work counts more than a
family name.

Read the entire report at:  http://www.ctj.org/pdf/estatetax20081203.pdf

For more information contact Citizens for Tax Justice at:
Citizens for Tax Justice
1616 P Street NW
Suite 200
Washington, DC 20036
Phone: (202)299-1066
Fax: (202) 299-1065
www.ctj.org

 
Revenues
 
Governors Ask President Elect Obama for Fiscal Help

 
Yesterday, as reported by Bloomberg, forty-eight governors met with President-elect Barack Obama to present their case for a federal package to help the states deal with the effects of the recession.  Governors, including Governor Blagojevich, want an assistance plan to create jobs through infrastructure projects, such as highways, and to aid with programs such as unemployment benefits, food stamps and health care for the poor.

Governor Blagojevich told Bloomberg that any federal stimulus plan for the states include as much as $100 billion in aid to help cover the swelling costs of social services.

"We're not asking for the federal government to bail us out," Blagojevich said. "We will do our part."  Blagojevich added the $100 billion her referred to would be in addition to infrastructure projects but that the total amount of any assistance from Washington and when it might come are unclear.

Obama said he wants any rescue legislation to provide a "bottom-up" stimulus that begins at the state level, and he would like governors to help draft the measure.   He told the governors "If we're listening to our governors, we'll not only be doing what's right for our states, we'll be doing what's right for our country."

Bloomberg reported that more than half of the states are suffering from declining revenue in the fiscal year that began five months ago. California accounts for nearly half of the $24 billion in budget deficits faced by a total of 31 states this year (Data provided by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities).

Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell said 41 states could face a total of $200 billion in shortfalls in fiscal 2009 and 2010.

Other States
New York Governor David Paterson said his state faces a $1.5 billion revenue shortfall in its current $119.7 billion spending plan and $12.5 billion in the next, Bloomberg reported.

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said California won't accept federal money until it balances out its books.  The governor has proposed $4.7 billion in increased taxes and fees and $4.5 billion in spending cuts to close a shortfall of $11 billion. He said he is hopeful lawmakers will approve his plan, and he won't accept federal aid until the state balances its budget.

Read the entire Bloomberg article here.


Background
 

 
State Revenues Projected to Decrease in FY 2009
 
The Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability (COGFA) issued a new Fiscal Year (FY) 2009 revenue estimate.  COGFA projects revenues to decrease $550 million in FY 2009.  When accounting for inflation (CPI) FY 2009 revenues will decrease an estimated $2,033 billion.

When the FY 2009 budget was adopted in July, it was based on expected revenues of $30.451 billion. At the time, however, State officials could not predict the present state of the economy.  The new revenue estimate is $1.342 billion less than the FY 2009 budget was based

In March, when COGFA made their first FY 2009 revenue estimate they stated, "In conclusion, given the current uncertain status of the economy, the revenue picture for FY 2009 is far from clear."  At the time, COGFA estimated revenues would be up slightly at $630 million.  However, actual revenue performance through the first third of the year was substantially down.  Interest earnings, sales and income taxes, lottery, riverboat and federal revenues are all expected to be down this fiscal year. 

 
Currently it is unclear how the State will choose to fix the situation.  Governor Blagojevich recently announced a four-part plan to manage the State's FY 2009 budget deficit.  The plan includes:

1.  Passage of the Emergency Budget Act, which would give the Governor the authority to hold back in contingency reserve as much as 8 percent of total appropriation and distributions for all General Funds spending,

2.  A request to Congress for an increase of $1 billion annually over the next three years in federal aid,

3.  Further administrative reductions in the agencies.  The Governor has already cut the FY 2009 budget by $1.4 billion and ordered all agencies to reduce spending by 3 percent. 

4.  Short-term borrowing.
 
The plan requires legislative action and it is unknown if the General Assembly will pass or amend the Governor's proposal or create their own plan.  What is known is that the State has found itself in a critical situation that it must find its way out of by either drastically cutting services or increasing tax or other revenues.  Both actions require legislative and janitorial approval.

Read the entire COGFA report here
Read last week's Weekly on the state's debt picture here



Look for CTBA's full report on the FY 2009 budget in the coming weeks.

 
Budget
 
FY 2009 Budget Cuts - Update

The State Journal Register reports that 85 state workers were laid off on Sunday in an effort to help close the budget hole.  Forty-eight of the workers were in the Department of Human Services. The rest were split between the Department of Natural Resources and the Illinois Historic Preservation Agency. Seven parks were shut down, and 12 historic sites were shuttered.

Governor Blagojevich's spokeswoman Katie Ridgway said it is possible more workers could be laid off.  She stated, "Due to the $2 billion budget deficit, we are monitoring the situation."

Employee Headcount
Historically, Illinois has not been a high public employee head count state (based on U.S. Census data). Instead, Illinois is mostly a grant-making state, that is, rather than hire state employees to provide services, Illinois disburses grants to independent providers such as Lutheran Social Services or Catholic Charities, which in turn deliver the public service. Illinois now ranks 50th among the states, dead last in the nation, in number of state employees per capita.

Additionally, SJ-R reports on data provided by the state Department of Central Management Services earlier this year that shows the number of state government jobs has dropped more than 20 percent since 2002, the year before Governor Blagojevich took office. Many employees took advantage of an early retirement program that year, and a lot of those jobs weren't filled when Blagojevich took office.

For more information on the Early Retirement Program or state workers see the CTBA website here.

 
Calendar
 
WHAT:   Leadership for Diversity Conference
              Social Justice for Illinois Schools Pre K-12

WHEN:  
Friday-Saturday, January 30-31, 2009
WHERE:
Bradley University · Robert H. Michel Student Center · Peoria, IL
INFO:
The purpose of this conference is to promote a statewide dialogue about best leadership practices to promote learning in diverse environments. We seek to understand policy implications at the local, state, and national levels that affect all stakeholders in diverse settings. It is our hope that from this dialogue will emerge effective leadership practices that build inclusive learning communities where diversity is valued, respected and promoted.

Keynote Speakers: 
Dr. Linda Skrla, Associate Dean for Research, P-16 Initiatives, & International Programs, Texas A&M University, Ralph Martire, Executive Director, Center for Tax and Budget Accountability, Phillip Jackson, Founder & CEO, The Black Star Project


Registration Fees:
Friday Afternoon Diversity & Inclusion Awareness Workshop $50.00
Friday Evening $50.00
Saturday $125.00
CPDU credit available - $15.00 Register online at www.iwel.org. (Deadline for registration is January 9th.) Questions? Contact Dr. Jenny Tripses at 309-677-3593 or jtripses@bradley.edu




WHAT:
Dupage Federation on Human Services Reform, Making the Connection:  Accessing Public Benefits for Low Income Persons
WHEN: October 1, 8, 15, 22, 29
            February 18, 25
            March 4, 11, 18
            June 3, 10, 17, 24
            July 1
WHERE: All trainings held at NIU Naperville, 1120 Diehl Road, Naperville, IL
INFO: Making the Connection training sessions contain information in an easy-to-understand format regarding many programs available to assist low income persons.

Individuals who register for a Making the Connection training session now receive membership access to the Federation's newly developed Making the Connection Illinois website, www.mtcil.org.

To register and for more information please visit www.dupagefederation.org.

 

 



Do you have something to add to the Weekly Review?
email Chrissy Mancini @
cmancini@ctbaonline.org

___________________________________________________________________________


Center for Tax and Budget Accountability

70 East Lake Street, Suite 1700
Chicago, IL  60601
312-332-1041
www.ctbaonline.org
 

 
 
logo2