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Weekly Review
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April 28, 2009
 
 
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CTBA Website
Weekly Review Archive
 
In This Issue
GAAP deficit numbers released
General Assembly schedule
Calendar of Events
 
State's GAAP Deficit
State's GAAP Deficit will Reach Over $14 Billion by End of Next Fiscal Year

The Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability (COGFA) has released their FY2009 and FY 2010 estimated GAAP deficit. 
 
GAAP stands for generally accepted accounting principles.  The standard is established by the Accounting Practices Board of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants. These rules, conventions, and procedures define accepted accounting practices.

FY2010 GAAP Report
According to COGFA the cash basis fund balance calculation starts with an estimated fiscal year 2009 beginning cash balance of $141 million. The FY 2010 beginning cash balance is calculated by adding COGFA's fiscal year 2009 estimated cash basis revenues to the fiscal year 2009 beginning cash balance and by subtracting GOMB's fiscal year 2009 cash basis spending estimate.

FY 2009 Beginning Cash Balance:                               $141 million
FY 2009 CGFA Est. Base Cash Revenue:                     $27,356 million
FY 2009 Est. Cash Spending:                                      -$31,460 million
FY 2009 Ending/FY 2010 Beginning Cash Balance:   -$3,963 million

The above beginning cash balance of -$3,963 million is simply the calculation of the FY 2009 beginning cash balance plus cash basis revenues less cash basis spending. It does NOT include almost $5 billion in Medicaid liabilities that the state can carry over to FY 2010.

The "modified accrual basis" fund balance calculation starts by adjusting the estimated fiscal year 2010 beginning balance for outstanding revenues and liabilities not accounted for in the cash basis beginning balance.

FY 2009 Ending/FY 2010 Beginning Cash Balance:                   -$3,963.0 million
FY 2010 Cash Receipts Attributable to FY 2009:                        $1,574.0 million
FY 2009 Lapse Period/Section 25 Spending:                              -$4,975.0 million
FY 2009 Ending/FY 2010 Begin. Modified Accrual Balance:    -$7,364.0 million

The estimated fiscal year 2010 modified accrual basis ending balance is calculated by adding estimates of fiscal year 2010 modified accrual basis revenue and subtracting GOMB estimated fiscal year 2010 expenditures, adjusted to a modified accrual basis by subtracting estimates of prior year lapse period and Section 25 spending and adding estimates of current year lapse period and Section 25 spending.

FY 2010 Estimated Beginning Modified Accrual Balance:                -$7,364.0 million
FY 2010 Estimated Modified Accrual Revenue:                               $26,953.2 million
FY 2010 Estimated Modified Accrual Expenditures:                        -$34,261.0 million
FY 2010 Estimated Ending Modified Accrual Balance:               -$14,671.7 million

The estimated fiscal year 2010 modified accrual basis ending balance results in a deficit of $14.7 billion. This figure is nearly $3.3 billion lower than the estimated cash basis ending balance. This is mostly because FY 2009 lapse period / Section 25 spending is anticipated to be much higher than FY 2010 cash receipts attributable to FY 2009.


COGFA's Budget Deficit Clarification
In the Governor's FY 2010 Budget Book, a budgetary walk-up is included which shows the cash balance budget deficit to be $12.4 billion, which is considerably less than the $14.7 billion deficit shown above from COGFA. The primary reason for this discrepancy is due to how the modified accrual ending balance is defined to be calculated, especially as it pertains to Section 25 spending. The Section 25 provision allows the State to pay any remaining Medicaid bills from one fiscal year with monies from next years' appropriations. Because of this, the budget can still appear balanced on a cash basis (or have a lower reported deficit), even though the State may not have sufficient funding for the Medicaid program. On a modified accrual basis, Section 25 liabilities from one fiscal year that are pushed off into the next fiscal year must be counted in the year that the liability is accrued. As a result, when including these Section 25 liabilities, the modified accrual deficit will be shown to be higher than the cash basis deficit.

To read the entire report click here.
 


Definitions
Cash basis budgets:  A forecast of estimated cash receipts and disbursements for a specified period of time.  Cash basis budgets are based on estimates of the cash balance available at the beginning of the fiscal year, the amount of revenue actually received during July through June of the fiscal year, the amount of expenditures actually made during July through June of the fiscal year, and the ending cash balance.

A business operating on a cash basis budget would record a transaction when it was paid for goods or services. This method is good for a number of businesses such as restaurants and convenience stores. Paying your bills works the same way as well. You record the bill when you pay it.

Accrual basis budgets: Budgeting on a modified accrual basis instead recognizes revenues and expenditures as they accrue.  When a business uses accrual basis accounting it records a transaction as soon as a customer is billed, whether the business had been paid or not. The same goes for state government.  An accrual basis budget would record Section 25 Medicaid liabilities as they happened, not as they were paid.

 
From the Capitol
 
capitol dome

Senate and House Schedule
 

The General Assembly has about 30 days to finalize the FY 2010 budget and implement a much needed capital plan.  May 31 is the last day of regular session. 



View the Senate schedule here
View the House schedule here

Read CTBA's analysis of the FY 2010 proposed budget here

View Resources from CTBA's 2009 fiscal symposium here


 
Calendar
 

WHAT:  
Rally for the Common Good
WHEN:  
May 6, 2009
WHERE:
Capital Rotunda - Springfield 1:00pm to 3:30 pm
INFO:   
If you or your organization would like to participate please fill out a form here and submit to Jennifer DeLeon at stephen.taylor@lssi.org or fax (847-635-6764) before Friday, Apr. 3rd

WHAT:
Dupage Federation on Human Services Reform, Making the Connection:  Accessing Public Benefits for Low Income Persons
WHEN: October 1, 8, 15, 22, 29
            February 18, 25
            March 4, 11, 18
            June 3, 10, 17, 24
            July 1
WHERE: All trainings held at NIU Naperville, 1120 Diehl Road, Naperville, IL
INFO: Making the Connection training sessions contain information in an easy-to-understand format regarding many programs available to assist low income persons.

Individuals who register for a Making the Connection training session now receive membership access to the Federation's newly developed Making the Connection Illinois website, www.mtcil.org.

To register and for more information please visit www.dupagefederation.org.

 

 



Do you have something to add to the Weekly Review?
email Chrissy Mancini @
cmancini@ctbaonline.org

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Center for Tax and Budget Accountability

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Chicago, IL  60601
312-332-1041
www.ctbaonline.org
 

 
 
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